Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1703.099436 1860.070489 2019.836968 2194.335397 2379.275231 2569.162398 2778.583888
2025-03-16 1425.119146 1654.586033 1897.927172 2174.065820 2477.584180 2799.923872 3167.008650
2025-03-23 1294.762722 1571.007269 1872.623815 2224.059516 2619.936890 3049.804246 3549.548833
2025-03-30 1175.525785 1482.735790 1826.771938 2236.753367 2708.138488 3229.407618 3845.594158
2025-04-06 1073.018489 1402.436913 1779.922998 2238.868804 2776.106094 3379.611424 4103.206448
2025-04-13 947.479179 1284.561237 1679.987577 2170.489506 2754.917883 3421.555725 4231.827374
2025-04-20 911.466427 1271.100425 1700.592941 2241.444713 2894.373796 3647.542116 4572.092856
2025-04-27 863.418520 1238.650307 1694.809956 2277.806296 2990.629728 3821.790918 4851.749610
2025-05-04 802.559780 1185.705440 1660.100365 2275.595757 3037.850779 3936.235017 5059.916225
2025-05-11 741.551820 1128.574085 1616.635579 2259.339831 3065.299147 4025.095982 5236.368559
2025-05-18 699.848407 1094.172441 1599.712575 2274.278115 3129.535039 4157.286740 5464.387049
2025-05-25 651.361292 1047.659468 1564.562259 2263.749557 3160.230098 4247.433751 5640.950070
2025-06-01 622.854247 1027.736305 1564.033336 2298.237568 3248.908794 4411.039722 5910.631263
2025-06-08 574.965271 978.003455 1521.651121 2276.436848 3264.907978 4484.311664 6069.886443
2025-06-15 557.665864 970.742943 1535.618806 2328.123157 3374.724230 4674.498135 6374.026703
2025-06-22 528.240516 944.037837 1521.512532 2341.233744 3433.897003 4800.919368 6599.350100
2025-06-29 497.335758 913.306594 1500.273137 2343.418921 3477.868842 4907.660640 6800.136292
2025-07-06 445.587239 847.936186 1427.503183 2272.777894 3423.667764 4887.687984 6840.258927
2025-07-13 441.440841 855.848014 1459.206000 2346.079628 3560.929430 5113.578694 7192.298048
2025-07-20 426.976248 846.617697 1465.482015 2383.635257 3650.346316 5278.233635 7467.481430
2025-07-27 402.061532 819.244312 1444.055145 2381.352288 3685.453016 5372.310401 7652.821185
2025-08-03 374.828635 786.486324 1413.262965 2364.563092 3699.913991 5438.905357 7802.731508
2025-08-10 357.767025 769.624809 1405.471435 2379.991464 3757.995283 5562.540203 8026.439384